| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.86 | 64.1% | 44.75 | 35.1% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 80.71 | 62.3% | 50.29 | 36.7% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.09 | 60.7% | 35.24 | 38.6% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.15 | 58.7% | 60.00 | 40.0% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.79 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 42.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.37 | 44.3% | 31.58 | 45.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.97 | 55.5% | 51.04 | 43.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.86 | 53.3% | 44.71 | 45.6% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.66 | 51.9% | 15.91 | 47.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.27 | 50.6% | 36.57 | 48.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.