| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.56 | 82.7% | 60.00 | 16.8% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.68 | 82.0% | 15.32 | 17.8% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.61 | 81.7% | 17.66 | 18.1% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.50 | 81.4% | 18.31 | 18.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.83 | 80.7% | 54.74 | 18.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.42 | 79.6% | 60.00 | 19.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.43 | 78.6% | 30.21 | 21.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.