| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.36 | 51.5% | 45.52 | 47.4% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.26 | 48.7% | 35.18 | 49.6% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.53 | 47.1% | 27.08 | 47.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.22 | 52.9% | 30.29 | 46.4% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.24 | 51.9% | 14.65 | 47.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.64 | 48.1% | 14.26 | 48.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.53 | 51.4% | 34.72 | 47.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.04 | 48.4% | 41.13 | 49.4% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.36 | 46.3% | 37.21 | 47.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →