| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.79 | 73.3% | 19.64 | 26.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.98 | 72.8% | 18.91 | 27.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.69 | 71.7% | 60.00 | 27.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.32 | 28.4% | 21.94 | 29.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.47 | 71.9% | 39.14 | 27.6% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.53 | 71.1% | 11.76 | 28.7% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.18 | 70.6% | 22.73 | 29.0% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.91 | 70.1% | 16.05 | 29.7% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.64 | 69.7% | 7.42 | 30.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →