| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.38 | 49.3% | 25.84 | 50.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.12 | 47.5% | 43.32 | 51.3% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.34 | 52.3% | 52.52 | 53.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.02 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 51.1% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 18.51 | 51.7% | 9.57 | 48.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.79 | 48.0% | 19.11 | 48.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.50 | 47.4% | 5.92 | 47.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.06 | 46.9% | 13.62 | 47.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.