| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.43 | 80.3% | 18.82 | 19.5% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.93 | 80.0% | 17.54 | 19.9% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 134.34 | 19.2% | 25.73 | 20.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.35 | 81.7% | 18.26 | 18.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.98 | 81.3% | 29.24 | 18.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.