| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.47 | 50.8% | 32.25 | 48.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.78 | 48.5% | 60.00 | 50.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.50 | 52.4% | 29.07 | 53.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.51 | 47.7% | 21.73 | 51.7% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.80 | 46.9% | 9.29 | 52.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.44 | 46.3% | 15.47 | 53.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.