| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.21 | 82.3% | 38.84 | 17.4% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.74 | 81.4% | 60.00 | 18.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.02 | 80.5% | 35.42 | 19.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.67 | 79.8% | 27.68 | 19.9% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.02 | 78.9% | 60.00 | 20.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.00 | 77.8% | 42.80 | 21.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.89 | 77.2% | 8.41 | 22.7% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.33 | 76.9% | 24.85 | 22.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.28 | 76.0% | 51.11 | 23.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.