| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.88 | 67.7% | 42.55 | 31.6% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 51.49 | 66.4% | 34.19 | 33.0% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.12 | 65.3% | 30.77 | 34.2% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.81 | 63.7% | 59.74 | 35.2% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.15 | 62.2% | 22.47 | 37.4% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.05 | 60.9% | 43.87 | 38.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.61 | 59.3% | 35.35 | 40.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.70 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 109.75 | 54.7% | 60.00 | 44.0% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.42 | 52.8% | 22.39 | 46.7% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.22 | 51.9% | 16.19 | 47.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.50 | 48.1% | 15.64 | 48.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.