| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.08 | 84.4% | 60.00 | 15.1% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.90 | 83.4% | 60.00 | 16.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.97 | 82.7% | 29.74 | 17.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 16.46 | 82.3% | 13.55 | 17.6% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.79 | 82.1% | 9.68 | 17.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.64 | 81.9% | 12.81 | 18.0% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.52 | 81.3% | 50.03 | 18.2% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.78 | 80.5% | 36.05 | 19.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.