| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.94 | 33.9% | 7.77 | 65.9% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 66.90 | 65.6% | 43.91 | 66.4% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.05 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 64.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.04 | 62.1% | 30.47 | 62.7% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.31 | 38.1% | 10.79 | 61.5% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.28 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 62.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.32 | 59.1% | 40.35 | 59.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.37 | 57.5% | 33.57 | 58.2% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.53 | 55.9% | 40.55 | 56.8% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.89 | 53.6% | 60.00 | 55.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.94 | 51.1% | 46.47 | 52.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.82 | 49.3% | 27.50 | 50.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 127.73 | 47.0% | 60.00 | 48.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 137.33 | 43.7% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 149.23 | 40.2% | 60.00 | 42.0% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 164.36 | 36.5% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 184.21 | 32.6% | 60.00 | 34.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 211.33 | 28.4% | 60.00 | 30.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.