| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.66 | 67.1% | 26.61 | 67.5% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 14.84 | 66.5% | 9.87 | 66.7% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.16 | 66.1% | 12.01 | 66.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.83 | 65.3% | 35.81 | 65.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.64 | 64.2% | 25.46 | 64.7% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.02 | 63.3% | 24.71 | 63.8% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.53 | 61.9% | 52.91 | 62.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.60 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 60.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.99 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 58.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.77 | 55.0% | 38.91 | 55.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.87 | 52.7% | 60.00 | 54.1% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.06 | 50.7% | 23.85 | 51.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.