| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.52 | 71.2% | 8.91 | 28.7% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.57 | 70.9% | 7.50 | 28.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 169.50 | 27.5% | 46.54 | 29.2% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.90 | 74.1% | 8.82 | 25.8% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.46 | 73.7% | 18.77 | 26.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 212.64 | 24.5% | 52.12 | 26.5% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.99 | 76.8% | 54.51 | 22.6% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.92 | 76.0% | 13.62 | 23.8% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 39.18 | 23.8% | 9.33 | 24.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 71.09 | 22.8% | 16.23 | 23.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.89 | 21.8% | 10.44 | 22.2% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.46 | 78.5% | 7.43 | 21.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.