| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.63 | 56.5% | 6.57 | 43.4% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.09 | 43.0% | 22.40 | 43.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.55 | 56.9% | 32.20 | 42.4% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.90 | 55.6% | 29.41 | 43.7% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.35 | 53.6% | 59.12 | 45.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.68 | 51.2% | 40.80 | 47.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.09 | 48.8% | 54.71 | 49.8% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 131.06 | 45.8% | 60.00 | 52.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.