| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.19 | 85.5% | 60.00 | 14.1% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.22 | 84.7% | 50.98 | 15.0% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.08 | 83.9% | 41.19 | 15.7% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 26.04 | 83.4% | 21.72 | 16.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.22 | 83.0% | 32.54 | 16.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.04 | 82.2% | 60.00 | 17.3% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.01 | 81.2% | 42.24 | 18.4% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.55 | 80.5% | 30.24 | 19.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.60 | 79.7% | 48.32 | 19.8% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.32 | 78.6% | 60.00 | 20.8% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.73 | 77.8% | 16.90 | 22.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 20.64 | 77.4% | 15.98 | 22.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.40 | 76.5% | 60.00 | 22.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.63 | 75.7% | 10.32 | 24.2% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.69 | 74.9% | 51.47 | 24.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.63 | 74.1% | 11.59 | 25.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.