| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.23 | 43.0% | 18.15 | 43.5% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.78 | 41.8% | 23.31 | 42.5% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.20 | 40.0% | 36.10 | 41.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 161.97 | 37.0% | 60.00 | 38.9% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 169.07 | 33.3% | 56.26 | 35.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 205.01 | 29.3% | 60.00 | 31.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 198.17 | 25.3% | 50.09 | 27.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.