| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.88 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.12 | 51.0% | 30.66 | 48.3% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.96 | 49.4% | 12.34 | 49.8% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.58 | 48.8% | 13.94 | 49.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.21 | 46.9% | 56.40 | 48.4% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.81 | 53.6% | 41.19 | 45.4% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 40.96 | 46.8% | 19.18 | 47.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.93 | 45.4% | 33.56 | 46.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.