| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.17 | 73.0% | 60.00 | 26.2% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.10 | 71.3% | 60.00 | 27.8% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.92 | 29.2% | 8.74 | 29.5% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.98 | 70.9% | 12.75 | 28.9% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.73 | 70.6% | 11.10 | 29.3% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.34 | 69.5% | 60.00 | 29.6% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.86 | 30.1% | 37.01 | 31.4% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.94 | 70.4% | 49.96 | 28.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.55 | 69.2% | 30.83 | 30.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.38 | 67.8% | 57.89 | 31.3% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 182.49 | 31.2% | 56.85 | 33.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.10 | 70.6% | 15.59 | 29.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.