| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 142.98 | 38.9% | 55.64 | 40.6% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 170.13 | 35.3% | 60.00 | 37.2% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.83 | 65.9% | 44.70 | 33.3% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.66 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 34.9% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.57 | 62.6% | 19.14 | 37.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.60 | 36.9% | 25.70 | 37.7% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.90 | 63.6% | 15.20 | 36.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 70.07 | 35.9% | 25.13 | 36.7% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.93 | 64.4% | 31.50 | 35.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.95 | 63.5% | 19.01 | 36.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.79 | 62.0% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.61 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.00 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.11 | 54.5% | 60.00 | 44.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 20.31 | 46.6% | 9.47 | 46.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.52 | 45.6% | 29.85 | 46.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.38 | 53.9% | 60.00 | 44.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.