| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.09 | 72.3% | 43.47 | 27.1% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.67 | 70.9% | 60.00 | 28.3% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.88 | 69.1% | 60.00 | 30.0% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.35 | 67.1% | 60.00 | 31.9% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.15 | 65.4% | 43.27 | 33.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.15 | 64.4% | 17.47 | 35.3% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.34 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 36.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.43 | 61.5% | 16.87 | 38.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.75 | 60.8% | 16.88 | 38.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 28.61 | 60.2% | 17.21 | 39.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.51 | 59.2% | 29.32 | 40.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 104.62 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 41.4% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.46 | 54.9% | 52.93 | 43.9% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.84 | 52.2% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →