| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 156.41 | 38.4% | 60.00 | 40.2% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.58 | 35.4% | 33.86 | 36.5% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 185.84 | 32.3% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.54 | 69.2% | 36.34 | 30.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.71 | 67.6% | 60.00 | 31.4% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.74 | 65.7% | 56.33 | 33.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.95 | 63.8% | 49.13 | 35.3% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.07 | 61.8% | 60.00 | 37.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.69 | 59.8% | 44.64 | 39.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.21 | 58.2% | 30.98 | 41.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.64 | 56.3% | 60.00 | 42.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.23 | 54.2% | 34.25 | 45.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.52 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 46.6% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 122.54 | 49.0% | 60.00 | 49.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.