| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.71 | 83.7% | 60.00 | 15.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.38 | 82.7% | 54.08 | 16.8% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 9.65 | 82.2% | 7.93 | 17.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.57 | 81.6% | 60.00 | 17.9% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.59 | 80.5% | 48.79 | 19.0% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.53 | 79.4% | 60.00 | 20.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.99 | 78.4% | 39.97 | 21.2% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.64 | 77.3% | 60.00 | 22.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.