| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.69 | 57.3% | 60.00 | 58.6% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.44 | 55.9% | 7.51 | 56.0% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.07 | 55.5% | 8.92 | 55.7% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.48 | 44.1% | 19.64 | 55.3% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.52 | 55.5% | 41.89 | 56.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 23.65 | 54.2% | 12.83 | 54.5% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.58 | 53.7% | 9.98 | 53.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.