| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.88 | 78.8% | 30.65 | 20.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 145.20 | 20.3% | 29.48 | 21.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 10.20 | 80.8% | 8.24 | 19.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.85 | 80.3% | 40.03 | 19.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.30 | 79.8% | 9.82 | 20.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.48 | 79.3% | 36.08 | 20.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.02 | 78.5% | 47.09 | 21.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.56 | 77.6% | 29.93 | 22.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.35 | 76.6% | 60.00 | 22.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.