| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.35 | 86.6% | 27.14 | 13.3% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.26 | 86.0% | 47.55 | 13.6% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.36 | 85.3% | 60.00 | 14.3% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.58 | 84.4% | 59.55 | 15.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.29 | 83.6% | 40.36 | 16.1% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.12 | 83.1% | 19.21 | 16.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.82 | 82.4% | 60.00 | 17.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.32 | 81.4% | 45.86 | 18.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.61 | 80.4% | 60.00 | 19.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.75 | 79.2% | 60.00 | 20.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.