| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 49.83 | 51.9% | 25.88 | 52.6% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 68.17 | 50.5% | 34.40 | 51.3% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.14 | 49.2% | 45.37 | 49.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.01 | 51.2% | 30.20 | 51.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 14.39 | 50.3% | 7.23 | 50.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.62 | 48.5% | 60.00 | 50.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.