| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.30 | 81.8% | 24.79 | 18.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.06 | 81.0% | 60.00 | 18.4% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.13 | 80.2% | 26.56 | 19.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.67 | 79.3% | 60.00 | 20.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.91 | 78.0% | 60.00 | 21.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →