| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.86 | 56.2% | 30.83 | 56.9% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.40 | 54.9% | 27.67 | 55.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.06 | 53.3% | 43.18 | 54.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.21 | 47.4% | 13.84 | 52.3% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.81 | 52.7% | 13.07 | 53.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.