| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.23 | 82.1% | 17.44 | 17.7% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.67 | 81.4% | 60.00 | 18.0% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 52.42 | 80.5% | 42.18 | 19.1% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.87 | 79.6% | 46.85 | 19.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.48 | 78.5% | 60.00 | 20.9% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.87 | 77.4% | 36.28 | 22.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 13.75 | 76.9% | 10.57 | 23.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.