| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.62 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 34.8% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.49 | 61.9% | 56.05 | 37.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.20 | 60.1% | 40.96 | 39.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.48 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 40.8% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.19 | 56.1% | 27.60 | 43.3% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.98 | 55.0% | 22.54 | 44.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →