| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.86 | 79.2% | 47.41 | 20.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.74 | 78.2% | 45.16 | 21.3% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.79 | 77.4% | 24.62 | 22.3% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.46 | 76.5% | 60.00 | 22.8% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.99 | 75.0% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.67 | 73.5% | 60.00 | 25.7% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.54 | 71.8% | 60.00 | 27.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.76 | 70.2% | 49.70 | 29.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →