| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.86 | 77.4% | 38.59 | 22.2% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 12.81 | 76.8% | 9.84 | 23.0% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.94 | 76.0% | 60.00 | 23.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 36.92 | 74.9% | 27.67 | 24.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.13 | 74.4% | 17.94 | 25.4% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.41 | 73.4% | 52.44 | 25.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →