| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.28 | 31.2% | 8.83 | 31.5% |
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.03 | 68.5% | 39.04 | 30.9% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 22.88 | 31.9% | 7.30 | 32.2% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 186.67 | 29.7% | 55.42 | 31.7% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.21 | 72.1% | 12.40 | 27.8% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.10 | 27.7% | 11.93 | 28.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.