| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.07 | 62.4% | 59.36 | 36.5% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.79 | 60.1% | 60.00 | 38.7% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.65 | 57.7% | 58.64 | 41.1% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.89 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.55 | 45.7% | 19.00 | 46.2% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.12 | 54.1% | 28.75 | 45.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.