| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.86 | 83.1% | 41.44 | 16.5% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.93 | 82.3% | 57.53 | 17.2% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.04 | 81.4% | 38.29 | 18.3% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.58 | 80.5% | 60.00 | 19.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 11.80 | 79.8% | 9.41 | 20.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.