| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.77 | 68.4% | 60.00 | 30.7% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.36 | 66.4% | 60.00 | 32.6% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.28 | 64.3% | 60.00 | 34.6% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.59 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 36.8% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 161.61 | 37.1% | 60.00 | 39.0% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.24 | 33.9% | 39.78 | 35.3% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 177.81 | 30.7% | 54.61 | 32.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 169.05 | 27.2% | 45.90 | 28.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.69 | 73.8% | 52.18 | 25.5% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.98 | 72.3% | 60.00 | 26.9% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.99 | 70.6% | 60.00 | 28.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.