| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.90 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 33.7% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.02 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 35.8% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.58 | 60.9% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 102.67 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 40.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 107.39 | 55.9% | 60.00 | 42.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.29 | 53.4% | 49.28 | 45.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →