| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.89 | 84.7% | 38.89 | 15.0% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.97 | 84.1% | 42.03 | 15.6% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.10 | 83.4% | 45.12 | 16.2% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.83 | 82.7% | 36.25 | 17.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.30 | 81.9% | 60.00 | 17.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 60.14 | 80.8% | 48.62 | 18.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →