| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.63 | 55.7% | 60.00 | 57.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.85 | 53.4% | 45.28 | 54.4% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.04 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.59 | 48.2% | 44.16 | 49.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.64 | 45.8% | 45.22 | 47.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.