| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.04 | 50.0% | 40.55 | 51.1% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 29.01 | 50.6% | 14.68 | 49.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.18 | 48.7% | 60.00 | 49.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 131.77 | 45.5% | 60.00 | 52.8% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 64.60 | 55.3% | 35.72 | 56.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 58.96 | 53.8% | 31.70 | 54.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.