| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.06 | 63.2% | 52.52 | 64.2% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.20 | 61.1% | 60.00 | 62.3% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.95 | 59.5% | 23.16 | 59.9% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.94 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 59.0% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.85 | 55.9% | 23.41 | 56.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →