| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.40 | 64.2% | 56.15 | 65.2% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.61 | 62.1% | 60.00 | 63.2% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.70 | 60.2% | 37.16 | 61.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.57 | 58.8% | 32.68 | 59.5% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.68 | 57.4% | 36.53 | 58.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.61 | 55.2% | 60.00 | 56.6% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.35 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 53.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-09-24 06:00 UTC on the next hourly run.