| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.03 | 45.8% | 14.68 | 53.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.20 | 45.0% | 17.18 | 54.6% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.59 | 55.1% | 17.96 | 55.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 52.66 | 54.0% | 28.46 | 54.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.50 | 51.9% | 60.00 | 53.4% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.17 | 49.4% | 43.56 | 50.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →