| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 56.15 | 83.7% | 46.98 | 15.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.52 | 83.0% | 27.84 | 16.7% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.25 | 82.3% | 53.73 | 17.2% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.16 | 81.3% | 58.68 | 18.1% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.51 | 80.3% | 47.79 | 19.2% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.76 | 79.3% | 50.57 | 20.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 76.80 | 78.1% | 60.00 | 21.2% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.15 | 76.8% | 60.00 | 22.5% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.64 | 75.3% | 60.00 | 23.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →