| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 42.22 | 58.0% | 24.50 | 58.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.68 | 57.1% | 17.53 | 57.5% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.19 | 42.4% | 29.75 | 56.8% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.91 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 58.5% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.22 | 54.9% | 42.43 | 55.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 47.09 | 53.4% | 25.15 | 54.0% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.82 | 51.4% | 60.00 | 52.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →