| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.46 | 85.2% | 60.00 | 14.4% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.82 | 84.5% | 21.83 | 15.3% |
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.52 | 83.9% | 60.00 | 15.6% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.53 | 83.1% | 32.03 | 16.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.87 | 82.3% | 60.00 | 17.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →