| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 67.71 | 83.9% | 56.80 | 15.7% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.36 | 82.9% | 60.00 | 16.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.14 | 82.1% | 32.96 | 17.6% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.07 | 81.4% | 44.01 | 18.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →