| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.36 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 64.7% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.82 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 62.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.79 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 60.2% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.38 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 57.7% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.72 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 55.1% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 118.01 | 50.8% | 60.00 | 52.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 125.52 | 47.8% | 60.00 | 49.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →