| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.76 | 62.2% | 34.66 | 37.2% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.11 | 60.4% | 53.86 | 38.5% |
| 16 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.23 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 40.6% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.34 | 56.0% | 37.18 | 43.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.43 | 53.8% | 60.00 | 44.8% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 66.99 | 51.6% | 34.58 | 47.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →