| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.99 | 84.3% | 37.08 | 15.4% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.35 | 83.6% | 49.61 | 16.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.03 | 82.8% | 38.96 | 16.8% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 42.10 | 82.2% | 34.61 | 17.5% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.86 | 81.5% | 44.70 | 18.1% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.57 | 80.7% | 39.19 | 18.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →